18 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a 18 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 19 Dec 19:00 GMT. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 19 Dec 19:00 GMT if the released value is = 2.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Nov 19:00
26 Sep 19:00
13 Jun 19:00
02 May 19:00
31 Jan 19:00
01 Nov 18:00
20 Sep 19:00
14 Jun 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).