36 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect a 36 pip movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 07 Nov 20:00 GMT.
We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 07 Nov 20:00 GMT if the released value is = 1.75%