77.78% probability that USDJPY will trend downwards right now

Past performance is not an indicator of future results.
Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 77.78% chance of this. This will happen because the released value is = 5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 08:55
04 Jan 08:55
30 Aug 08:55
29 Jun 08:55
27 Apr 08:55
29 Mar 08:55
28 Feb 08:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).