98 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a 98 pip movement on GBPUSD for the next 12 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for 12 hours because the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Oct 12:45
26 Jul 12:45
14 Jun 12:45
26 Apr 12:45
08 Mar 12:45
25 Jan 12:45
26 Oct 12:45
08 Jun 12:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).