Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.75%. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 12:00
13 Sep 12:00
10 May 12:00
22 Mar 12:00
08 Feb 12:00
14 Dec 12:00
14 Sep 12:00
15 Jun 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).