NZDUSD will trend upwards from 20 Dec 13:30

We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 15. A price movement of 12 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Nov 13:30
16 Aug 13:30
21 Jun 13:30
18 Jan 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).