USDJPY will trend upwards from 20 Dec 13:30

We expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1665K. A price movement of 12 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 13:30
21 Nov 13:30
15 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).