Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect a $200 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 21 Nov 23:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 21 Nov 23:30 if the released value is < 1.4%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
18 May 00:30 |
22 Mar 23:30 |
25 Jan 23:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
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