Trade with an edge around todays United States Durable Goods Orders ex Tansp MoM news event

Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders ex Tansp MoM news events there is a 77.78% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.3%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Nov 13:30
25 Oct 13:30
26 Jul 13:30
27 Jun 13:30
26 Apr 13:30
27 Feb 13:30
22 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).