USDJPY will trend downwards from 23 Nov 13:30

We expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Canada Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 2.2%. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Jul 13:30
23 Mar 12:30
23 Feb 13:30
21 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).