Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards for the next 4 hours?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect a $180 movement on AUDUSD within the next 4 hours. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is > 178K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 12:15
03 Oct 13:15
01 Aug 13:15
02 May 13:15
07 Mar 13:15
31 Jan 13:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).