What to trade around Japan Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 2.4%. A price movement of 5 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Nov 23:30

31 Aug 00:30

31 Jul 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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