What to trade around United States Durable Goods Orders ex Tansp MoM news event

Past performance is not an indicator of future results.
Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders ex Tansp MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 88.89% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 12 hours because the released value is < 0.3%. A price movement of 25 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Dec 13:30
21 Nov 13:30
25 Oct 13:30
27 Sep 13:30
26 Jul 13:30
27 Jun 13:30
26 Apr 13:30
27 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).