75% probability that AUDUSD will trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence Flash events in Euro Area, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This will happen because the released value is < -4.3

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Sep 15:00
23 Aug 15:00
23 May 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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