75% probability that USDCAD will trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This will happen because the released value is < 1.8%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Oct 13:30
18 May 13:30
20 Apr 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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