80% probability that AUDUSD will trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 ore. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This will happen because the released value is > 0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Aug 14:30
 
14 Jun 14:30
 
14 Dec 15:30
 
15 Nov 15:30
 

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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