83.33% probability that NZDUSD will trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This will happen if the released value is < 17

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Oct 00:50
02 Jul 00:50
02 Apr 00:50
03 Oct 00:50
01 Apr 00:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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