EURUSD will trend downwards from 19 Dec 09:30

We expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United Kingdom PPI Input YoY news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 4.6%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Sep 09:30
20 Mar 09:30
16 Jan 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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