Trade with an edge around todays Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on past Canada Ivey PMI s.a news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 60.3. A price movement of 10 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Oct 15:00
07 Aug 15:00
06 Jun 15:00
06 Apr 15:00
05 Jan 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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