Trade with an edge around todays United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news event

Based on past United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news events there is a 71.43% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 15. A price movement of 33 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Oct 13:30
20 Sep 13:30
19 Jul 13:30
17 May 13:30
19 Apr 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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