USDCAD will trend downwards right now

We expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 5. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Nov 00:30
11 Sep 02:30
12 Jun 02:30
10 Apr 02:30
12 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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