What to trade around United Kingdom PPI Input YoY news event

Past performance is not an indicator of future results.
Based on the last 12 PPI Input YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is < 4.3%. A price movement of 48 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Sep 09:30
23 May 09:30
20 Mar 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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