What to trade around United States Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is = 2.2%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Nov 13:30
12 Jul 13:30
10 May 13:30
13 Mar 12:30
12 Jan 13:30
13 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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