What to trade around United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

Past performance is not an indicator of future results.
Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 05 Apr 13:30 if the released value is < 180K. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Mar 13:30
03 Aug 13:30
04 May 13:30
06 Apr 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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