What to trade around United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

Past performance is not an indicator of future results.
Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 48 hours because the released value is < 180K. A price movement of 64 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Dec 13:30
05 Oct 13:30
03 Aug 13:30
04 May 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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